CSO - Central Statistics Office Ireland

16/08/2024 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 16/08/2024 09:07

Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data June 2024

The Monthly Employee Index fell by 0.1% in the month to June 2024

Online ISSN: 2811-5791
CSO statistical publication, 16 August 2024, 11am

A CSO Frontier Series Output

This publication is categorised as a CSO Frontier Series Output. Particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics in this release as it may use new methods which are under development and/or data sources which may be incomplete, for example new administrative data sources.

Key Findings

  • The seasonally adjusted employee index fell by 0.1% in the month to June 2024.

  • The employee indices for both males and females decreased by 0.1% over the same period.

  • The seasonally adjusted employee index was up by 2.1% in the 12 months to June 2024.

  • Taking age into account, the largest decreases in the monthly index to June 2024 were seen in the 20-24 years (-2.1%) and 15-19 years (-1.1%) age groups.

  • The NACE sector with the largest monthly increase in June 2024 was Administrative & Support Service Activities (+1.1%), followed by Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities (+0.9%).

  • The largest monthly decrease in June 2024 was in Accommodation & Food Service Activities (-1.0%), followed by Education (-0.9%).

  • In the 12 months to June 2024, the economic sector that observed the largest rise in the number of employees was Human Health & Social Work Activities (+5.8%).

Statistician's Comment

The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (16 August 2024) released Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data, June 2024.

Commenting on the release, Aoife McHugh, Statistician in the Labour Market & Earnings Division, said:

"Six NACE sectors saw a monthly increase in the numbers employed in June 2024, eight sectors decreased, while one remained unchanged. The sector that observed the largest monthly decrease was Accommodation & Food Service Activities (-1.0%), while the largest monthly rise was seen in Administrative & Support Service Activities, which was up by 1.1%.

The 20-24 years age group saw the largest decrease in employees in the month to June 2024. Four age categories saw monthly decreases in the employee index, while four age groups increased. The 65 years and over age group saw the largest rise (+1.2%) in employees in the month.

On an annual basis, the seasonally adjusted index went up by 2.1% over the full year from June 2023 to June 2024."

Data from this publication supplement those in the Labour Force Survey (LFS) quarterly series, which is the official measure of both employment and unemployment for the State. Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data are of relevance to LFS Seasonally Adjusted Estimates and Employment outputs.

Seasonal Adjustment

The Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data release is a very short time series (just over five years of monthly data) and is thus at the lower limit of acceptable length for the seasonal adjustment process. In the short term, care should be taken in interpreting the seasonally adjusted output. Users should be aware that there is increased uncertainty around the seasonally adjusted figures during the COVID-19 period due to the volatility of the data. Non-seasonally adjusted data are available on PxStat. The seasonal models were revised in June 2024. The models are being updated as part of the annual review process in accordance with the CSO and ESS (European Statistical System/Eurostat) guidelines.

Revisions and Rounding

The Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data is published as a 'Frontier' release, therefore the methodology and data are subject to revision. As more data become available, due to later transmissions from employers, the series may change from month to month. As this particularly affects the most recent months, figures should be considered provisional for the two most recent months for the non-seasonally adjusted data. Estimates for 2023 were revised in June 2024 as part of an annual review with the latest data available. All figures for monthly percentage change and annual percentage change are calculated prior to the input data being rounded.

Note: It is anticipated that an update including new weighting will be introduced in forthcoming months. This will result in a break in series.

Headline Table

Number of Employees and Employee Index, Monthly and Annual Changes, Seasonally Adjusted
Period Number of Employees Employee Index (Base year: 2019=100) Monthly % Change Annual % Change
June 2023 2,426,500 112.7 0.3 3.1
May 2024 2,480,000 115.1 0.3 2.5
June 2024 2,477,500 115.0 -0.1 2.1

Employee Index Totals, Seasonally Adjusted

The seasonally adjusted index increased by 2.1% in June 2024 when compared with June 2023. March 2021 was the last month to show an annual decrease (-10.9%) in the employee index.

Figure 1: Employee Index, Seasonally Adjusted

© Central Statistics Office, Ireland
https://data.cso.ie/table/EIA04

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Table 1 Employee Index and Total Number of Employees, Seasonally Adjusted
Table 1 Employee Index and Total Number of Employees, Seasonally Adjusted
Year Month Employee Index (Base year 2019=100) Total Number of Employees Monthly % Change Annual % Change
2022 June 109.3 2,353,300 0.0 10.5
July 109.5 2,358,400 0.2 9.0
August 109.7 2,362,800 0.2 8.3
September 110.3 2,376,300 0.6 7.7
October 110.8 2,386,700 0.4 6.4
November 111.4 2,399,500 0.5 6.5
December 111.8 2,408,200 0.4 5.9
2023 January 111.9 2,409,500 0.1 5.1
February 112.1 2,415,000 0.2 4.4
March 112.4 2,420,500 0.2 3.9
April 112.4 2,421,100 0.0 3.2
May 112.3 2,419,200 -0.1 2.8
June 112.7 2,426,500 0.3 3.1
July 112.7 2,428,400 0.1 3.0
August 113.3 2,440,100 0.5 3.3
September 113.5 2,444,700 0.2 2.9
October 113.8 2,451,800 0.3 2.7
November 114.0 2,454,800 0.1 2.3
December 114.2 2,460,100 0.2 2.2
2024 January 114.5 2,466,500 0.3 2.4
February 114.6 2,469,400 0.1 2.3
March 114.8 2,472,300 0.1 2.1
April 114.8 2,473,800 0.1 2.2
May 115.1 2,480,000 0.3 2.5
June 115.0 2,477,500 -0.1 2.1
Source: PMOD Revenue Commissioner's Employee Tax Data

Employee Index by Sex, Seasonally Adjusted

On an annual basis, the female index increased by 2.5% while the male index rose by 1.9%. On a monthly basis both the female and male indices were down 0.1%.

Figure 2: Employee Index classified by Sex, Seasonally Adjusted

© Central Statistics Office, Ireland
https://data.cso.ie/table/EIA04

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Table 2 Employee Index by Sex, Seasonally Adjusted
Table 2 Employee Index by Sex, Seasonally Adjusted
Male Female Both Sexes
Year Month Employee Index (Base Year 2019=100) Monthly % Change Annual % Change Employee Index (Base Year 2019=100) Monthly % Change Annual % Change Employee Index (Base Year 2019=100) Monthly % Change Annual % Change
2022 June 108.8 0.1 10.1 109.4 -0.3 11.2 109.3 0.0 10.5
July 109.1 0.3 8.9 109.7 0.3 9.2 109.5 0.2 9.0
August 109.4 0.3 8.2 109.8 0.1 8.5 109.7 0.2 8.3
September 110.0 0.5 7.4 110.6 0.7 8.2 110.3 0.6 7.7
October 110.4 0.4 6.1 111.1 0.5 6.8 110.8 0.4 6.4
November 110.9 0.4 6.1 112.0 0.8 6.9 111.4 0.5 6.5
December 111.3 0.4 5.4 112.5 0.4 6.3 111.8 0.4 5.9
2023 January 111.4 0.1 4.4 112.5 0.1 5.3 111.9 0.1 5.1
February 111.7 0.2 3.8 112.8 0.2 4.7 112.1 0.2 4.4
March 111.9 0.2 3.7 112.9 0.2 4.1 112.4 0.2 3.9
April 111.8 -0.1 3.1 112.9 0.0 3.5 112.4 0.0 3.2
May 111.7 -0.1 2.8 112.8 -0.1 2.9 112.3 -0.1 2.8
June 112.1 0.3 3.0 113.2 0.3 3.5 112.7 0.3 3.1
July 112.2 0.1 2.8 113.4 0.3 3.4 112.7 0.1 3.0
August 112.6 0.4 2.9 113.8 0.3 3.6 113.3 0.5 3.3
September 112.9 0.2 2.6 114.1 0.2 3.2 113.5 0.2 2.9
October 113.2 0.3 2.5 114.4 0.3 3.0 113.8 0.3 2.7
November 113.4 0.2 2.3 114.5 0.1 2.3 114.0 0.1 2.3
December 113.6 0.2 2.0 114.9 0.3 2.1 114.2 0.2 2.2
2024 January 113.8 0.2 2.1 115.2 0.3 2.4 114.5 0.3 2.4
February 113.9 0.1 2.0 115.4 0.1 2.3 114.6 0.1 2.3
March 114.0 0.1 1.9 115.6 0.2 2.4 114.8 0.1 2.1
April 114.1 0.1 2.0 115.7 0.1 2.4 114.8 0.1 2.2
May 114.4 0.2 2.4 116.0 0.3 2.9 115.1 0.3 2.5
June 114.2 -0.1 1.9 115.9 -0.1 2.5 115.0 -0.1 2.1
Source: PMOD Revenue Commissioner's Employee Tax Data

Table 2a Number of Employees by Sex, Seasonally Adjusted
Table 2a Number of Employees by Sex, Seasonally Adjusted
Male Female Both Sexes
Year Month Number of Employees Monthly % Change Annual % Change Number of Employees Monthly % Change Annual % Change Number of Employees Monthly % Change Annual % Change
2022 June 1,189,800 0.1 10.1 1,160,000 -0.3 11.2 2,353,300 0.0 10.5
July 1,193,100 0.3 8.9 1,164,000 0.3 9.2 2,358,400 0.2 9.0
August 1,196,500 0.3 8.2 1,164,600 0.1 8.5 2,362,800 0.2 8.3
September 1,202,600 0.5 7.4 1,172,600 0.7 8.2 2,376,300 0.6 7.7
October 1,207,100 0.4 6.1 1,178,700 0.5 6.8 2,386,700 0.4 6.4
November 1,212,400 0.4 6.1 1,187,900 0.8 6.9 2,399,500 0.5 6.5
December 1,217,200 0.4 5.4 1,192,900 0.4 6.3 2,408,200 0.4 5.9
2023 January 1,218,300 0.1 4.4 1,193,500 0.1 5.3 2,409,500 0.1 5.1
February 1,221,000 0.2 3.8 1,195,900 0.2 4.7 2,415,000 0.2 4.4
March 1,223,600 0.2 3.7 1,197,800 0.2 4.1 2,420,500 0.2 3.9
April 1,222,800 -0.1 3.1 1,197,900 0.0 3.5 2,421,100 0.0 3.2
May 1,221,800 -0.1 2.8 1,196,300 -0.1 2.9 2,419,200 -0.1 2.8
June 1,225,600 0.3 3.0 1,200,000 0.3 3.5 2,426,500 0.3 3.1
July 1,226,300 0.1 2.8 1,203,100 0.3 3.4 2,428,400 0.1 3.0
August 1,231,600 0.4 2.9 1,206,900 0.3 3.6 2,440,100 0.5 3.3
September 1,234,300 0.2 2.6 1,209,700 0.2 3.2 2,444,700 0.2 2.9
October 1,237,800 0.3 2.5 1,213,600 0.3 3.0 2,451,800 0.3 2.7
November 1,239,800 0.2 2.3 1,214,900 0.1 2.3 2,454,800 0.1 2.3
December 1,242,000 0.2 2.0 1,218,100 0.3 2.1 2,460,100 0.2 2.2
2024 January 1,244,100 0.2 2.1 1,222,100 0.3 2.4 2,466,500 0.3 2.4
February 1,245,300 0.1 2.0 1,224,000 0.1 2.3 2,469,400 0.1 2.3
March 1,246,700 0.1 1.9 1,226,000 0.2 2.4 2,472,300 0.1 2.1
April 1,247,400 0.1 2.0 1,226,700 0.1 2.4 2,473,800 0.1 2.2
May 1,250,500 0.2 2.4 1,230,400 0.3 2.9 2,480,000 0.3 2.5
June 1,249,000 -0.1 1.9 1,229,600 -0.1 2.5 2,477,500 -0.1 2.1
Source: PMOD Revenue Commissioner's Employee Tax Data

Employee Index by Age Groups, Seasonally Adjusted

With the exception of the 15-19 years age category (-2.5%), all age groups saw annual increases in the employee index. The age group with the largest annual rise in employees was 65 years and over (+12.5%), followed by those aged 60-64 years (+5.9%).

Figure 3: Employee Index Monthly and Annual Percentage Changes June 2024, Seasonally Adjusted

© Central Statistics Office, Ireland
https://data.cso.ie/table/EIA05

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Table 3 Employee Index by Age Group, Seasonally Adjusted
Table 3 Employee Index by Age Group, Seasonally Adjusted
Employee Index (Base Year 2019=100) Monthly % Change Annual % Change
Age Group June 2023 May 2024 June 2024
15 - 19 years 135.9 134.0 132.5 -1.1 -2.5
20 - 24 years 112.6 116.6 114.2 -2.1 1.4
25 - 34 years 106.6 107.6 107.3 -0.3 0.6
35 - 44 years 106.2 107.3 107.1 -0.2 0.9
45 - 54 years 117.9 122.9 123.1 0.1 4.4
55 - 59 years 116.2 120.5 120.6 0.1 3.8
60 - 64 years 122.9 129.9 130.1 0.2 5.9
65 years and over 135.0 150.1 151.9 1.2 12.5
15 years and over 112.7 115.1 115.0 -0.1 2.1
Source: PMOD Revenue Commissioner's Employee Tax Data

Table 3a Number of Employees by Age Group, Seasonally Adjusted
Table 3a Number of Employees by Age Group, Seasonally Adjusted
Number of Employees Monthly % Change Annual % Change
Age Group June 2023 May 2024 June 2024
15 - 19 years 122,300 120,600 119,300 -1.1 -2.5
20 - 24 years 252,100 261,000 255,600 -2.1 1.4
25 - 34 years 557,000 562,200 560,400 -0.3 0.6
35 - 44 years 615,800 622,200 621,200 -0.2 0.9
45 - 54 years 512,200 533,800 534,600 0.1 4.4
55 - 59 years 184,800 191,700 191,800 0.1 3.8
60 - 64 years 124,200 131,200 131,500 0.2 5.9
65 years and over 58,500 65,100 65,900 1.2 12.5
15 years and over 2,426,500 2,480,000 2,477,500 -0.1 2.1
Source: PMOD Revenue Commissioner's Employee Tax Data

Employee Index by Economic Sectors

Most economic sectors showed an annual increase in the employee index when compared with June 2023. The sectors showing the largest annual increases were Human Health & Social Work Activities (+5.8%), and Public Administration & Defence (+5.6%). The largest decrease was recorded in Information & Communication (-2.6%).

Figure 4: Employee Index classified by NACE Rev.2 Economic Sector, Seasonally Adjusted

© Central Statistics Office, Ireland
https://data.cso.ie/table/EIA03

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Table 4 Employee Index classified by NACE Rev.2 Economic Sector, Seasonally Adjusted
Table 4 Employee Index classified by NACE Rev.2 Economic Sector, Seasonally Adjusted
Employee Index (Base Year 2019=100) Monthly % Change Annual % Change
Sector June 2023 May 2024 June 2024
Agriculture, forestry and fishing (A) 110.2 110.5 109.6 -0.8 -0.5
Industry (B to E) 111.0 113.2 113.2 0.0 1.9
Construction (F) 119.1 123.6 124.4 0.6 4.4
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (G) 109.7 110.3 110.1 -0.2 0.4
Transportation and storage (H) 116.7 120.3 120.5 0.1 3.3
Accommodation and food service activities (I) 111.8 111.7 110.6 -1.0 -1.1
Information and communication (J) 121.8 118.7 118.6 -0.1 -2.6
Financial, insurance and real estate activities (K,L) 111.7 113.5 113.7 0.2 1.7
Professional, scientific and technical activities (M) 119.5 122.9 124.1 0.9 3.8
Administrative and support service activities (N) 110.5 110.2 111.4 1.1 0.8
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security (O) 112.6 119.8 118.8 -0.8 5.6
Education (P) 114.3 117.3 116.2 -0.9 1.7
Human health and social work activities (Q) 116.6 123.1 123.3 0.2 5.8
Arts, entertainment, recreation and other service activities (R,S) 99.8 102.4 102.3 -0.1 2.5
Services (T,U) 110.5 116.2 115.7 -0.5 4.7
Not stated .. .. .. .. ..
Aggregated Sectors
Cultural and Creative Industries 102.0 105.7 105.0 -0.7 3.0
Tourism Industries 110.7 111.8 109.7 -1.9 -1.0
All Economic Sectors 112.7 115.1 115.0 -0.1 2.1
Source: PMOD Revenue Commissioner's Employee Tax Data

Table 4a Number of Employees classified by NACE Rev.2 Economic Sector, Seasonally Adjusted
Table 4a Number of Employees classified by NACE Rev.2 Economic Sector, Seasonally Adjusted
Number of Employees Monthly % Change Annual % Change
Sector June 2023 May 2024 June 2024
Agriculture, forestry and fishing (A) 28,700 28,800 28,500 -0.8 -0.5
Industry (B to E) 263,500 268,500 268,600 0.0 1.9
Construction (F) 136,100 141,300 142,100 0.6 4.4
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (G) 387,300 389,400 388,900 -0.2 0.4
Transportation and storage (H) 92,000 94,800 95,000 0.1 3.3
Accommodation and food service activities (I) 206,100 205,800 203,700 -1.0 -1.1
Information and communication (J) 123,500 120,400 120,300 -0.1 -2.6
Financial, insurance and real estate activities (K,L) 126,700 128,700 128,900 0.2 1.7
Professional, scientific and technical activities (M) 157,800 162,200 163,800 0.9 3.8
Administrative and support service activities (N) 159,500 159,100 160,800 1.1 0.8
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security (O) 199,700 212,500 210,800 -0.8 5.6
Education (P) 170,600 175,000 173,400 -0.9 1.7
Human health and social work activities (Q) 281,000 296,500 297,200 0.2 5.8
Arts, entertainment, recreation and other service activities (R,S) 96,800 99,200 99,200 -0.1 2.5
Services (T,U) 4,200 4,500 4,400 -0.5 4.7
Not stated1 200 100 200 .. ..
Aggregated Sectors
Cultural and Creative Industries 36,000 37,300 37,000 -0.7 3.0
Tourism Industries 220,700 222,800 218,600 -1.9 -1.0
All Economic Sectors 2,426,500 2,480,000 2,477,500 -0.1 2.1
Source: PMOD Revenue Commissioner's Employee Tax Data
1May be subject to revision due to a lag in coding of activity in Revenue's PMOD file