NRCC Memo: House GOP's "Trump card" to grow majority
October 28, 2024
Donald Trump's surge in popularity gives House Republicans the ability to grow the majority. Read why in the NRCC's new memo.
Key points:
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An October NRCC polling average shows that among the 16 Biden districts that House Republicans currently hold, Kamala only leads by less than a point on the ballot.
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This includes districts in blue states where Trump is currently either statistically tied or holds a lead where Biden won by double digits in 2020.
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In contrast, in 2020 Joe Biden won these 16 districts by more than 6.3% on average.
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Any Democrat-held seat won by Joe Biden by five points or less in 2020 is in danger of flipping to the GOP due to Trump's surge - and in some areas of the country, that number is even higher.
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Internal NRCC polling from October in 16 swing-seats currently held by Democrats shows that while Joe Biden won these districts on average by 4.3%, President Trump is effectively tied on the ballot today - down by only 0.1%.
Fox News: Internal House GOP memo reveals confidence amid dead-heat presidential race
NRCC National Press Secretary Will Reinert said: "House Republicans hold a 'Trump card' that gives us the ability to grow the majority. Numerous incumbent House Democrats are running in districts that Donald Trump will win next week - they just don't know it yet."