10/16/2024 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 10/16/2024 11:01
ALBANY - The New York State Public Service Commission (Commission) today announced that it expects the state's utilities will have adequate supplies of natural gas and electricity on hand to meet the demands of residential and commercial customers in New York State. Meanwhile, electricity bills are expected to be down from last winter, while gas bills are expected to be slightly higher.
"We are closely monitoring the utilities serving New York State to make sure they have adequate sources and supplies of electricity and natural gas to meet expected customer demands this winter," said Commission Chair Rory M. Christian. "Further, the utilities have hedged approximately 70 percent of their estimated statewide full service electric residential energy needs to mitigate any electric market price swings this winter."
The gas utilities serving New York State have adequate natural gas supply, delivery capacity, and storage inventory to satisfy current firm customer demands under severe winter design conditions for this winter. Gas utilities continue to file long-term gas system plans, as required by Commission orders. The Department of Public Service (Department) continues to review and analyze gas utilities' long-term plans separate from the present annual winter preparedness review.
Current data indicate slightly lower forecasted commodity prices, coupled with a normal weather forecast and increased delivery rates for several gas utilities for this winter, customer bills are expected to be higher than last year, on average. Customers may see varying price levels based on their service territory and the actual weather. In addition to individual usage, staff expects the average full-service residential electric commodity bills will be similar to last winter. Discounts for low-income households under the Commission's Energy Affordability Program will be increased to address the higher prices.
On average, the electric utilities have hedged approximately 70 percent of their estimated statewide full service electric residential energy needs to protect against unexpected electric market price swings that could occur this winter. Department outreach efforts will provide consumers with information on available resources, ways to mitigate energy costs, measures to reduce energy consumption, bill management options, and financial assistance programs. Staff is also working with the state's energy utilities to ensure they maintain strong communication with customers about the companies' winter preparedness efforts.
Customer Outreach: The Department has a proactive program in place to help customers receive the information and assistance they need. The outreach and education efforts include publications in multiple languages about billing and payment options, financial assistance programs and winter preparedness measures to help with winter bills, and the steps to take if customers are faced with heating-related energy emergencies.
Electric and Natural Gas Price Forecast: This winter's gas bills are expected to be higher than last winter. Electric supply bills are expected to be slightly lower than last year. On a statewide average, a residential electric customer using 600 kWh per month is expected to pay about $58 per month for supply this winter, down 2 percent from the same period a year ago, but the actual amount varies by utility. Meanwhile, the average residential customer using 700 therms of natural gas can expect to pay an estimated $202 per month during the winter heating season (November through March), up 11 percent from the same period a year ago, but note that the actual amount will vary widely by region due to the weather and usage. A colder-than-normal winter will cause usage and bills to increase. Note that the state's investor-owned utilities take steps to reduce the volatility of electric and gas supply prices to their full-service residential customers. Between financial hedges and gas held in storage, gas utilities have hedged approximately 52 percent of their estimated statewide customer needs. However, customers are not completely shielded from global market price volatility.
Winter-Heating Preparedness: Staff continues to track weather impacts, pipeline and storage assets, and interruptible customer compliance, and will also work with the local distribution companies (LDCs) and communities to find innovative solutions that increase environmental benefits, while meeting customer expectations for their energy demands. This work includes the aggressive pursuit of efficiency measures, demand response and other solutions to meet growing space and water heating needs. The LDCs serving New York State are finalizing contracting for adequate natural gas supply, delivery capacity and storage inventory to satisfy firm customer demands under peak winter conditions. The Department will also continue to closely monitor areas of the state where demand is growing at a faster pace.
The ongoing gas planning proceeding will modernize the long-term planning process used by the gas utilities and require them to file long-term plans that include energy efficiency, demand response programs and other programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the state's natural gas system and implement uniform moratoria procedures. The new planning processes will also allow for extensive stakeholder input. Department staff continues to coordinate with oil industry representatives and the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) to ensure that customers have access to adequate supplies of winter heating fuels. In keeping with the Commission's reliability requirements, natural gas companies are auditing systems, processes, and procedures, as well as scheduling tests to ensure that interruptible customers comply with the Commission's alternate fuel requirements.
Electric-System Preparedness: There is sufficient capability to meet electric demand for the winter. As part of the winter assessment, the major electric-generating facility owners in Southeast New York, which own about 12,000 MW of dual fuel generation capability, were contacted. Staff found that these owners are continuing to implement lessons learned from the Polar Vortex winter of 2013-2014, including having increased pre-winter on-site fuel reserves, having firm contracts with fuel oil suppliers, conducting more aggressive replenishment plans, and having more proactive pre-winter maintenance and facilities preparations.
Home Heating Assistance: New Yorkers can take advantage of cost-efficient programs in anticipation of the winter to adopt energy efficiency and electrification solutions for homes and businesses. During the winter months, New Yorkers can take the following steps to mitigate energy costs:
Today's decision may be obtained by going to the Commission Documents section of the Commission's Web site at www.dps.ny.gov and entering Case Number 24-M-0205 in the input box labeled "Search for Case/Matter Number". Many libraries offer free Internet access. Commission documents may also be obtained from the Commission's Files Office, 14th floor, Three Empire State Plaza, Albany, NY 12223 (518-474-2500). If you have difficulty understanding English, please call us at 1-800-342-3377 for free language assistance services regarding this press release.
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