A Look at Monthly Volatility and Equity and Options Volumes
Monthly Metrics
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Volatility (VIX): Monthly average 16.12; -19.2% M/M, +14.5% Y/Y
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S&P 500 (Price): Monthly average 5,929.92; +2.4% M/M, +33.0% Y/Y
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Performance (month/year): best = cons disc/fins +13.2%/+36.0%; worst = healthcare/healthcare +0.1%/+7.8%
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Equity ADV: Monthly average 14.6 billion shares; +25.2% M/M, +38.3% Y/Y
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Options ADV: Monthly average 53.1 million contracts; +30.7% M/M, +15.4% Y/Y
Monthly Highlight
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With the election behind us, we thought it would be interesting to revisit some of the metrics from our election note published last month. Heading into November, markets were already on an uptrend, with M/M increases of: +2.6% in September and +3.0% in October.
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This momentum has continued since the election. On a M/M basis - November to October change - 2024 was not the top year, ranking fifth. However, when looking at November performance versus YTD, 2024 came out on top.
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After the election, markets appeared to celebrate both the fact that we had a decisive election result and the business optimism equated with a Trump White House. In fact, the S&P 500 crossed 6,000 for the first time the Monday after election day, crossing this level two more times to close out the month.
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The slope of the line for the price of the S&P 500 increased in November: November was 2.1x YTD and 1.5x October-November. The pressure appears to be off for Santa Claus to deliver his rally this year.
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Author
Katie Kolchin, CFA
Managing Director, Head of Research
SIFMA Insights
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